2026 World Cup: Opta predicts the final matchup

Who is the top favorite to win the 2026 World Cup according to Opta?

Despite facing a tougher side of the bracket, Les Bleus—the French national team—have an 18.7% chance of lifting this 2026 World Cup, according to the statistics provider after 25,000 simulations of the rest of the tournament. That's compared to a 16.3% chance for Argentina's Albiceleste.

The data points to a France vs. Argentina final, just like in 2022. Spain rounds out the top favorites with a 13.5% chance of being crowned champions.

Joshua SOSSOU

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As a sports fan, and particularly a football fan, I've been putting my writing talent to good use for a number of years now to promote African talent and the continent's football in general. On Foot Africa, enjoy reading each of my lines.

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